2019 Week 10 Bear Tracks

BHP’s game against Wren was moved up a day and at times it looked like BHP brought their JV team to the game. BHP lost to Wren 55-28 and goes to 6-2 on the season and 3-1 in region play.

Although the outcome was a 27 point loss for the Bears, BHP was within 6 points at one point in the 2nd half. BHP’s dominating rushing attack was suppressed, but they were able to gain major yardage through the air. Nevertheless, the loss puts BHP’s backs against the wall and to win the region they will need some help from another region team this Friday night.

Week 10 Preview

Coming off a disappointing loss to Wren, BHP will have to bounce back against an undefeated Daniel team. Daniel is one of only three AAAA teams that are undefeated and currently sits at the top of Region 1. This matchup has nearly always decided the region title and this year is no different. Since 2000, BHP or Daniel have either won or tied for first place in the region 16 out of the 19 seasons. Although BHP will need some help from Walhalla, three different teams could be crowned region champs this Friday.

With all of the playoff and region championship ramifications on the line, the only part BHP can control is their matchup with Daniel. Recently, BHP has had the upper hand against Daniel winning the last 4 matchups. However, BHP is 20-29 all-time against Daniel.

BHP will have to play their best game of the season against Daniel to come out ahead. Getting back to controlling the game and not chasing an outcome will be the key to BHP winning. Daniel will present the toughest test BHP will face this season and we will see how BHP can respond.

2018 Game Stats

Score: BHP 42 -- Daniel 21

BHP Yardage:

Team Rushing: 55 rushes for 310 yards and 5 TDs
Team Passing: 11/13/0 for 150 yards and 1 TD
Team Total: 68 plays for 460 yards and 6 TDs

Rushing Leader: RJ Ellis - 38 rushes for 203 yards and 3 TDs
Passing Leader: Camden Bratcher - 11/13/0 for 150 yards and 1 TD
Receiving Leaders: Xavier Nance - 6 receptions for 62 yards

Daniel Team Yardage:

Team Rushing: 25 rushes for 127 yards and 2 TDs
Team Passing: 13/24/1 for 194 yards and 1 TD
Team Total: 49 plays for 321 yards and 3 TDs

Rushing Leader: Kiandre Sims - 9 rushes for 69 yards and 1 TD
Passing Leader: Tyler Venables - 13/24/1 for 194 yards and 1 TD
Receiving Leader: Hack Hamilton - 4 receptions for 100 yards and 1 TD

Quick Stats

2019 Season

• 7 of the 12 BHP turnovers have come in their 2 losses.
• BHP is averaging 44.5 points per game while allowing 23.1 per game.
• BHP is causing twice as many interceptions per game than last season.
• In three fewer games, BHP has scored 27 more points this season than last season.
• BHP has only allowed 2 passing TDs in the 1st half of games this season.
• 29% of BHP’s plays have gone for 10 or more yards this season.
• 39% of BHP’s passing yards and 44% of BHP’s passing TDs have come in 2nd quarters this season.

 

Week 9 vs Wren

• The 432 total yards gained by BHP was the 7th game this season where they gained 400 or more total yards.
• The game against Wren was the first game this season where BHP did not score 2 or more rushing TDs.
• The 5.6 yards per play by BHP was the lowest average this season.
• The 293 passing yards for BHP’s Logan Milford was the 7th highest passing game for a BHP passer ever.
• The 55 points scored by Wren was the 3rd most BHP has ever given up.
• The 55 points scored by Wren was only the 6th time BHP has ever given up 50 or more points in a game.
• The 212 total yards gained in the 1st quarter by Wren was only the 3rd time BHP has given up 200 or more total yards in a quarter since 2014.
• The 304 passing yards were the 3rd most passing yards BHP has given up in a single game since 2014.
• For the 4th time this season BHP surrendered 100 or more rushing yards to a single rusher. That only happened twice last season.
• The 77 plays run by Wren was the most plays run by an opponent this year and was 16 more than the 2nd most (61 vs Greenville).

 

vs Daniel

• BHP is 20-29 all-time against Daniel and since 2000 BHP is 10-9 against Daniel.
• If Daniel scores 34 points against BHP they will become the first BHP opponent to score 1,000 points against the Bears.
• BHP has played Daniel the second most of any opponent only behind Palmetto.
• Since 2000, BHP and Daniel have either won or tied for first place in the region 16 out of the 19 seasons.
• Daniel is one of only three AAAA undefeated teams.

 

Miscellaneous

• Since 2010 BHP is 16-2 when coming off a loss the previous week.
• Since 2000 BHP is 19-1 in region games coming off a loss the previous week.
• Since 2000 BHP has lost more than one region game only five times.
• Under Coach Blackston, BHP has not won less than 7 regular-season games in a single season

Region Outcomes

Here are the region championship outcomes based on the week 10 matchups.

1. If BHP beats Daniel and Wren beats Walhalla:
   1. Wren will be first
   2. BHP will be second
   3. Daniel will be third
   4. Walhalla will be fourth
2. If BHP loses to Daniel and Wren beats Walhalla:
   1. Daniel will be first
   2. Wren will be second
   3. BHP will be third
   4. Walhalla will be fourth
3. If BHP beats Daniel and Wren loses to Walhalla:
   1. BHP will be first
   2. Daniel will be second
   3. Walhalla will be third
   4. Wren will be fourth
4. If BHP loses to Daniel and Wren loses to Walhalla:
   1. Daniel will be first
   2. Wren will be second
   3. BHP will be third
   4. Walhalla will be fourth

Playoff Predictions

The wide range of outcomes in Region 1 also brings a wide range of opponents BHP could play in their first-round playoff game. We will give our prediction for BHP’s first-round playoff opponent based on the three possible region outcomes we presented above. All three outcomes have BHP with a home game in the first round.

BHP is region champs:

• This would have BHP matching up with an at-large team from the upper state. This one is hard to tell because the bracket committee will choose the at-large team and there is not a firm formula for who will get the bid. However, here is our prediction:
• The possibilities could be Palmetto, the loser of Greer and Blue Ridge, or Lancaster.
• Our guess is that Palmetto will go as the top at-large team and play Region 2’s first seed. Then we project that Greer will beat Blue Ridge and Blue Ridge will become the second at-large team. That means BHP would take on Blue Ridge in the 1st round of the playoffs.

BHP is 2nd in the region:

• This would have BHP taking on Region 4’s third-place team. Currently, this would be Orangeburg-Wilkinson. This is very dependent on their game against Lower Richland and the Crestwood and Lakewood game. The other option would be Crestwood.

BHP is 3rd in the region:

• This would have BHP taking on Region 3’s fourth-place team. Currently, this would be York. We feel this is pretty set too although if some upsets happen, BHP could face Westwood like last year.

Conclusion

This will be the 50th game played between BHP and Daniel and its importance is just like most of the others. With a region championship on the line for multiple teams and important playoff seeding hanging in the balance, we hope to see the complete BHP game that we have been waiting for all season.

Prediction: BHP 28 - Daniel 24

And Go Razorbacks!! We’re big fans this week!

Make sure to stay up to date and get notified when our posts are out by following us on Facebook and Twitter.